{"id":31763,"date":"2025-03-14T00:12:21","date_gmt":"2025-03-14T00:12:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/quantfury.com\/?p=31763"},"modified":"2025-03-14T00:12:23","modified_gmt":"2025-03-14T00:12:23","slug":"taxas","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/quantfury.com\/portuge\/insights-do-mercado\/taxas\/","title":{"rendered":"Nota sobre o Mercado: Taxas de juros de longo prazo podem sinalizar problemas"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Uma queda nos rendimentos dos Tesouros de longo prazo geralmente \u00e9 algo positivo: isso torna empr\u00e9stimos hipotec\u00e1rios e outros financiamentos de longo prazo mais baratos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Al\u00e9m disso, pode impulsionar a\u00e7\u00f5es, devido a esse financiamento mais barato para empresas e porque a queda das taxas torna os t\u00edtulos menos atraentes para investidores que buscam somente uma renda.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

No entanto, a queda mais recente nas taxas de juros n\u00e3o \u00e9 t\u00e3o ben\u00e9fica, pois reflete a expectativa dos investidores de uma s\u00e9ria desacelera\u00e7\u00e3o econ\u00f4mica ou talvez uma recess\u00e3o. O rendimento do Tesouro de 10 anos caiu 49 pontos-base para 4,31% desde 13 de janeiro. Isso fez com que a taxa fixa de hipoteca de 30 anos ca\u00edsse para 6,67%, o n\u00edvel mais baixo desde o in\u00edcio de dezembro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

V\u00e1rios acontecimentos recentes apontam para uma economia fraca. A pol\u00edtica tarif\u00e1ria \u2014 tanto os aumentos quanto as revers\u00f5es dos aumentos anunciados \u2014 pesar\u00e1 sobre a demanda de neg\u00f3cios e consumidores, dizem especialistas. Os consumidores j\u00e1 come\u00e7aram a recuar, com os gastos de consumo pessoal caindo 0,2% em janeiro em compara\u00e7\u00e3o a dezembro. Companhias a\u00e9reas e varejistas alertaram sobre uma demanda menor no futuro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Portanto, n\u00e3o \u00e9 surpresa que o Goldman Sachs tenha acabado de reduzir sua previs\u00e3o de crescimento econ\u00f4mico para 2025 de 2,2% para 1,7%. Comparemos com uma expans\u00e3o de 2,8% no ano passado.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Portanto, desta vez, cuidado com as taxas de juros de longo prazo em queda.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Uma queda nos rendimentos dos Tesouros de longo prazo geralmente \u00e9 algo positivo: isso torna empr\u00e9stimos hipotec\u00e1rios e outros financiamentos de longo prazo mais baratos. Al\u00e9m disso, pode impulsionar a\u00e7\u00f5es, devido a esse financiamento mais barato para empresas e porque a queda das taxas torna os t\u00edtulos menos atraentes para investidores que buscam somente uma […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[729,9],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-31763","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economy-markets","category-insights-do-mercado"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nNota sobre o Mercado: Taxas de juros de longo prazo podem sinalizar problemas | Quantfury<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Al\u00e9m disso, pode impulsionar a\u00e7\u00f5es, devido a esse financiamento mais barato para empresas e porque a queda das taxas.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, 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