{"id":29337,"date":"2025-02-17T21:38:54","date_gmt":"2025-02-17T21:38:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/quantfury.com\/?p=29337"},"modified":"2025-02-18T13:43:52","modified_gmt":"2025-02-18T13:43:52","slug":"alts","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/quantfury.com\/portuge\/insights-do-mercado\/alts\/","title":{"rendered":"Pode haver menos nos investimentos alternativos do que aparenta"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Na d\u00e9cada de 1990, David Swensen, diretor de investimentos da Universidade de Yale, ajudou a popularizar os investimentos em ativos alternativos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Suas escolhas durante seu per\u00edodo de 36 anos (1985-2021) administrando as doa\u00e7\u00f5es recebidas por Yale abrangeram capital privado, fundos de cobertura, im\u00f3veis e recursos naturais, incluindo terras florestais.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

O universo dos investimentos alternativos inclui basicamente tudo, menos a\u00e7\u00f5es e t\u00edtulos \u2013 de fundos de cobertura a arte. Os investidores de varejo podem obter uma parte dos investimentos alternativos comprando a\u00e7\u00f5es de gestores de investimentos alternativos. Portanto, voc\u00ea est\u00e1 obtendo uma participa\u00e7\u00e3o em ativos n\u00e3o p\u00fablicos mantidos nos balan\u00e7os de empresas de capital aberto.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tr\u00eas dos melhores players s\u00e3o Blackstone (NYSE: BX<\/a>), KKR (NYSE: KKR<\/a>) e Apollo Management (NYSE: APO<\/a>).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Quanto a Swensen, sua ideia era diversificar o portf\u00f3lio de a\u00e7\u00f5es e t\u00edtulos de Yale, limitando o risco e elevando os ganhos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Swensen certamente obteve \u00eaxito. Ele gerou um ganho anualizado de 12,5% durante seu per\u00edodo em Yale, superando o \u00edndice S&P 500, que obteve 9,7%, de acordo com a Quantified Strategies, um servi\u00e7o de informa\u00e7\u00f5es sobre investimentos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Outros seguem Swensen<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Esse sucesso inspirou uma s\u00e9rie de seguidores. Os investimentos alternativos tornaram-se a nova tend\u00eancia para os gestores de portf\u00f3lio.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Mas as coisas nem sempre funcionavam t\u00e3o bem. Os investimentos alternativos despencaram durante a crise financeira de 2007-09. Foi um investimento alternativo – empr\u00e9stimos hipotec\u00e1rios de alto risco – que iniciou o colapso.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

O portf\u00f3lio de Yale caiu 25% no ano encerrado em junho de 2009. Esse n\u00famero acompanhava a queda de 26% do S&P 500. No entanto, as perdas de Yale foram muito mais severas em rela\u00e7\u00e3o ao n\u00edvel de risco esperado do que as perdas no mercado de a\u00e7\u00f5es dos EUA, de acordo com o analista de investimentos Geoff Considine.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Alguns especialistas, como o economista de Harvard Larry Summers, que foi ex-secret\u00e1rio do Tesouro, acreditam que os investimentos alternativos s\u00e3o basicamente uma jogada de alavancagem em a\u00e7\u00f5es. A percep\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e9 que os investimentos alternativos superam as a\u00e7\u00f5es quando estas est\u00e3o subindo e t\u00eam um desempenho inferior quando as a\u00e7\u00f5es est\u00e3o caindo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A\u00e7\u00f5es da Blackstone vs os S&P 500<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Para testar essa ideia, vamos comparar os ganhos dos investimentos alternativos com os ganhos das a\u00e7\u00f5es. N\u00e3o h\u00e1 um \u00edndice amplamente utilizado para os investimentos alternativos, ent\u00e3o usaremos as a\u00e7\u00f5es da Blackstone em seu lugar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A Blackstone \u00e9 a maior gestora de ativos alternativos do mundo, com mais de US$ 1 trilh\u00e3o em ativos sob sua gest\u00e3o. Ela investe em quase todos os cantos do mundo alternativo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Os gr\u00e1ficos abaixo mostram o desempenho da Blackstone em rela\u00e7\u00e3o ao S&P 500 desde que abriu o seu capital em junho de 2007. Em todos, exceto dois dos 17 anos civis completos desde ent\u00e3o, as a\u00e7\u00f5es e o \u00edndice se moveram na mesma dire\u00e7\u00e3o. Mas em nove desses 17 anos, as a\u00e7\u00f5es da Blackstone subiram\/ca\u00edram pelo menos 8 pontos percentuais a mais do que o S&P 500, e geralmente muito mais.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"chart\"
Morningstar<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n


Por este motivo, neste caso, o investimento em ativos alternativos geralmente equivale a um jogo alavancado em a\u00e7\u00f5es. Isso n\u00e3o significa que voc\u00ea precise evitar ativos alternativos, apenas esteja ciente dos movimentos potencialmente extremos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nota: O autor possui a\u00e7\u00f5es da Blackstone.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Na d\u00e9cada de 1990, David Swensen, diretor de investimentos da Universidade de Yale, ajudou a popularizar os investimentos em ativos alternativos. Suas escolhas durante seu per\u00edodo de 36 anos (1985-2021) administrando as doa\u00e7\u00f5es recebidas por Yale abrangeram capital privado, fundos de cobertura, im\u00f3veis e recursos naturais, incluindo terras florestais. O universo dos investimentos alternativos inclui […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[732,9],"tags":[842,841,843],"class_list":["post-29337","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economia-e-mercados","category-insights-do-mercado","tag-apo-portuge","tag-bx-portuge","tag-kkr-portuge"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nPode haver menos nos investimentos alternativos do que aparenta | Quantfury<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Tr\u00eas dos melhores players s\u00e3o Blackstone (NYSE: BX), KKR (NYSE: KKR) e Apollo Management (NYSE: APO). 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